Election2026.nz

← Prism · answered 28 October 2026

Will National and ACT keep the Māori wards referendum results?

What the record says

The referendums were National and ACT's own policy. In July 2024 the coalition passed legislation reversing Labour's 2021 law change (which had removed a public-poll veto in place since 2001), requiring councils that had established Māori wards without a poll to either hold a binding referendum at the 2025 local elections or disestablish the wards.

Polls were held in 42 councils (37 territorial, 5 regional) in October 2025. Final results: 24 councils voted to remove their Māori wards and 18 to keep them, while the aggregate nationwide vote favoured keeping — roughly 542,000 (50.25%) keep to 468,000 (43.37%) remove. The results are binding for the 2028 and 2031 local terms.

Neither National nor ACT has proposed revisiting the outcomes; ACT leader David Seymour said after the count that the debate must respect local choice. The live 2026 question is whether the referendum requirement itself survives: Labour, the Greens and Te Pāti Māori all opposed the 2024 law. This site's forecast gives the right a 34% chance of governing outright, the left 13% outright and 37% with TOP.

From the left

For Labour, the Greens and Te Pāti Māori, the issue is not the counting of votes but whether a minority's representation should ever be put to a majority veto. Chris Hipkins said Māori were being "singled out by this Government for discriminatory treatment", and the Greens argued removing Māori wards would "trample all over Te Tiriti" — the Crown's partnership obligation doesn't lapse because a local poll goes against it. No other kind of ward — rural, general, urban — can be forced to a binding referendum; only Māori wards face that test, which is why Labour's 2021 law treated them like every other representation decision councils make. And on the actual numbers, more New Zealanders voted to keep the wards than to remove them. On this view, 'keeping the results' means entrenching an unequal rule, and restoring parity is the democratic position, not an override.

From the right

For National, ACT and NZ First, keeping the results is the whole point: they are binding local decisions the parties themselves legislated. David Seymour called the 2024 law's passage "a great day for democracy, local decision-making, and equal political rights", and then-Local Government Minister Simeon Brown said it reversed changes that had denied communities a say in their own governance. The principle cuts both ways — ACT accepts the 18 councils that voted to keep their wards just as it accepts the 24 that voted to remove them; Seymour's post-result position was that the debate must respect local choice. From this standpoint, overturning binding referendum results — or stripping communities of the poll right they held from 2001 to 2021 — would tell voters their ballots counted for nothing. Equal suffrage and local self-determination, not Wellington's preference, should settle how councils are structured.

The crux

The disagreement turns on whether representation owed to a Treaty partner is a right that should stand outside majority vote, or whether equal votes and binding local majorities are the fairest way to settle how councils are structured.

Sources: RNZ · RNZ · Te Ao Māori News · Wikipedia – 2025 Māori wards referendums · Scoop (ACT release) · Waatea News · Newsroom · Green Party

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Prism is an AI research pass over published reporting and this site's live forecast. The two cases are each side's best argument, not the site's view — and the order (left first) is layout, not a ranking. Check the sources before leaning on anything.